AI
AMETEK INC/ (AME)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record quarterly sales of $1.78B (+2.5% YoY), operating margin 26.0% (+20bps YoY), and adjusted EPS of $1.78 (+7% YoY); both revenue and EPS exceeded Wall Street consensus, and management raised FY25 EPS guidance .
- Q2 beat vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $1.78B vs $1.73B (+2.5% surprise) and adjusted EPS $1.78 vs $1.69 (+5.5% surprise); 14 estimates underpin the consensus*.
- EMG delivered standout performance: sales $618.5M (+6% YoY), operating income +17% YoY, and margin expansion to 23.3% (+210bps YoY); EIG margins remained robust at 29.7% with core margins at 30.7% .
- FY25 adjusted EPS guidance raised to $7.06–$7.20 from $7.02–$7.18; Q3 adjusted EPS guided to $1.72–$1.76 with sales up mid-single digits; book-to-bill was 1.00 and backlog near record at $3.47B .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record sales and EBITDA with “excellent core margin expansion” amid a “sluggish and uncertain economic environment,” highlighting operating flexibility and global footprint .
- EMG posted strong organic sales/orders, record operating income, and robust margin expansion to 23.3% (+210bps YoY); management noted EMG core margins up 260bps and forecast continued margin improvement into H2 .
- Raised FY25 EPS guidance and announced FARO acquisition (~$920M), expanding metrology and digital reality capabilities and expected to add “a couple of pennies” to 2025 with mid-teens cost synergies and a path to ~30% EBITDA over ~3 years .
What Went Wrong
- Process businesses faced customer uncertainty and slower decision-making from global trade challenges; organic sales in process were down 3–4% despite acquisitions and FX tailwinds .
- Research/academia and semiconductor end markets were headwinds; management sized research exposure at ~10% of AMETEK and noted U.S. funding delays may persist into Q3 .
- China was down low single digits; while most of the previously flagged ~$70M tariff-impacted shipments went out in Q2, some remain contingent for Q3/Q4 .
Financial Results
Quarterly Financials (oldest → newest)
Actual vs S&P Global Consensus – Q2 2025
Note: * Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown
KPIs and Balance Sheet Highlights
Guidance Changes
Guidance clarifications: Starting Q3, adjusted cash EPS will exclude one-time acquisition-related costs and restructuring charges for FARO and future deals .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered record sales and EBITDA, strong earnings growth, and excellent core margin expansion against the backdrop of a sluggish and uncertain economic environment.” — David A. Zapico, CEO .
- “EMG had an excellent quarter… record-level operating income and robust margin expansion.” — David A. Zapico .
- “Book to bill in the quarter was 1.00, and we ended the second quarter with a backlog of $3.47 billion, near record levels.” — Prepared remarks .
- “We have mid-teens cost synergy [for FARO]… from ~15% EBITDA to ~30% in about three years.” — CEO on FARO integration .
- “We saw direct benefits from [tariff mitigation] actions in the second quarter, including pricing, supply chain changes, and localization.” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance conservatism and tariff dynamics: management acknowledged a “bit of conservatism” in Q3 guide; most of the previously flagged
$70M China shipments went out in Q2, with remainder expected in Q3/Q4; tariff headwinds ($100M) are being effectively offset . - EMG margin trajectory: EMG margins expanded 210bps reported and 260bps core; management expects continued margin improvement in H2, supported by Paragon and automation recovery .
- FARO integration and synergy outlook: couple of pennies accretion in 2025; mid-teens cost synergies; longer-term path to ~30% EBITDA through AMETEK operating playbook (analogy to Zygote) .
- Orders/backlog cadence: overall orders +6% in Q2; EMG double-digit orders; June strongest month; book-to-bill 1.00; A&D book-to-bill >1 due to backlog nature .
- End-market color: A&D high single-digit organic growth; power/industrial improving; process sluggish due to research/semiconductor headwinds; automation inflecting upward .
Estimates Context
- Q2 beat vs consensus: revenue $1.778B vs $1.735B*, EPS (adjusted) $1.78 vs $1.69*; 14 estimates for both EPS and revenue underpin consensus*.
- Prior quarters: Q1 actual $1.75 adjusted EPS vs $1.69* consensus; Q4 actual $1.87 adjusted EPS vs $1.85* consensus; Q2 2024 actual $1.66 vs $1.64* consensus*.
- Implications: FY25 EPS guidance raised and segment trajectory (EMG) improving suggest upward estimate revisions for H2, particularly margins and adjusted EPS.
Note: * Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Consensus vs Actuals (selected periods)
Note: * Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Quality beat with raised FY guidance: both top line and adjusted EPS exceeded consensus, and FY25 EPS range moved higher; expect incremental upward estimate revisions and supportive sentiment .
- EMG inflection drives margin narrative: automation destock is over; Paragon and automation strength underpin sustained EMG margin expansion into H2, a core driver for continued EPS leverage .
- FARO integration offers multi-year upside: synergy realization and operating discipline point to material EBITDA margin uplift (toward ~30% in ~3 years), expanding AME’s metrology/digital reality portfolio .
- Cash flow/Balance sheet optionality: strong FCF (YTD conversion 102%), low net leverage (net debt/EBITDA 0.6), and over $2B of cash/credit capacity support ongoing strategic M&A and shareholder returns .
- Macro/trade risks being managed: tariff impacts offset by pricing/supply chain/localization; uncertainty remains a near-term headwind for process and research/semiconductor, but backlog and book-to-bill provide visibility .
- Near-term trading setup: Q3 guide carries modest conservatism; with EMG momentum and backlog strength, downside appears buffered—watch integration updates on FARO and order cadence across A&D and automation .
- Medium-term thesis: durable margin structure, accretive M&A, and secular exposures (A&D, grid modernization, metrology/digital reality) support compounding EPS and cash generation; valuation sensitivity hinges on execution of EMG margin expansion and FARO synergies .